- Title
- Measuring progress from 1990 to 2017 and projecting attainment to 2030 of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals for 195 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
- Creator
- Lozano, Rafael; Fullman, Nancy; Abdi, Alireza; Abdollahpour, Ibrahim; Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi; Abebe, Nebiyu Dereje; Abebe, Zegeye; Abejie, Ayenew Negesse; Abera , Semaw F.; Abil, Olifan Zewdie; Aboyans, Victor; Abraha, Haftom Niguse; Abate, Degu; Pond, Constance Dimity; Abay, Solomon M.; Abbafati, Cristiana; Abbasi, Nooshin; Abbastabar, Foad Abd-Allah; Abdela, Jemal; Abdelalim, Ahmed; Abdel-Rahman, Omar
- Relation
- Lancet Vol. 392, Issue 10159, p. 2091-2138
- Publisher Link
- http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32281-5
- Publisher
- The Lancet Publishing Group
- Resource Type
- journal article
- Date
- 2018
- Description
- projected to have a higher health-related SDG index in 2030 than in 2017, while country-level probabilities of attainment by 2030 varied widely by indicator. Under-5 mortality, neonatal mortality, maternal mortality ratio, and malaria indicators had the most countries with at least 95% probability of target attainment. Other indicators, including NCD mortality and suicide mortality, had no countries projected to meet corresponding SDG targets on the basis of projected mean values for 2030 but showed some probability of attainment by 2030. For some indicators, including child malnutrition, several infectious diseases, and most violence measures, the annualised rates of change required to meet SDG targets far exceeded the pace of progress achieved by any country in the recent past. We found that applying the mean global annualised rate of change to indicators without defined targets would equate to about 19% and 22% reductions in global smoking and alcohol consumption, respectively; a 47% decline in adolescent birth rates; and a more than 85% increase in health worker density per 1000 population by 2030.
- Subject
- SDGs; decision making; GDB; health indicators; SDG 2; SDG 3; SDG 16; SDG 17; Sustainable Development Goals
- Identifier
- http://hdl.handle.net/1959.13/1401914
- Identifier
- uon:34983
- Identifier
- ISSN:0140-6736
- Rights
- Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license.
- Language
- eng
- Full Text
- Reviewed
- Hits: 31469
- Visitors: 27463
- Downloads: 292
Collections
Goal 16: Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions
Goal 2: Zero Hunger
Goal 17: Partnerships for the Goals
Goal 3: Good Health and Well-Being
| Thumbnail | File | Description | Size | Format | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| View Details Download | ATTACHMENT02 | Publisher version (open access) | 5 MB | Adobe Acrobat PDF | View Details Download |