- Title
- Agent-based modeling of migration dynamics in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam: automated calibration using a genetic algorithm
- Creator
- Nguyen, Hung Khanh; Chiong, Raymond; Chica, Manuel; Middleton, Richard H.; Dhakal, Sandeep
- Relation
- 2019 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation (CEC). Proceedings of the 2019 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation (Wellington, NZ 10-13 June, 2019) p. 3372-3379
- Publisher Link
- http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/CEC.2019.8790008
- Publisher
- Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
- Resource Type
- conference paper
- Date
- 2019
- Description
- Migration is one of the many responses humans and societies make to ongoing demographic, economic, societal and environmental changes. In this work, we use agent-based modeling (ABM) to study the dynamics of migration flows across provinces and cities in the Mekong Delta, Vietnam. The strength of ABM is that it allows a bottom-up approach that focuses on how individuals make decisions in a complex system comprising various factors. Outputs of our agent-based model are automatically calibrated with actual data using a genetic algorithm. This automated calibration yields some significant improvement in the results, with all observed net- and out-migration data captured within the 95% confidence interval. Sensitivity analysis carried out helps to further understand the impact of critical factors on the final migration decision.
- Subject
- calibration; economics; urban areas; employment; agent-based modeling; genetic algorithms; education
- Identifier
- http://hdl.handle.net/1959.13/1406883
- Identifier
- uon:35665
- Identifier
- ISBN:9781728121536
- Rights
- © 2019 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works.
- Language
- eng
- Full Text
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