- Title
- Time-dependent reliability analysis of corrosion damage to concrete structures in China due to a changing climate
- Creator
- Peng, L.; Stewart, M. G.
- Relation
- 11th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability. Safety, Reliability, Risk and Life-Cycle Performance of Structures and Infrastructures: Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability (New York 16-20 June, 2013) p. 1527-1534
- Publisher Link
- http://dx.doi.org/10.1201/b16387-224
- Publisher
- CRC Press
- Resource Type
- conference paper
- Date
- 2013
- Description
- A changing climate which leads to increases in atmospheric CO₂ concentration, and changes in temperature and relative humidity (RH), especially in the longer term, will accelerate the deterioration processes and consequently decline the safety, serviceability and durability of reinforced concrete (RC) infrastructure. This paper presents an investigation of carbonation induced deterioration in two typical Chinese cities (Xiamen and Jinan) under a changing climate. The change trends of atmospheric CO₂, local temperature and RH of typical Chinese cities are projected based on the latest CO₂ emission scenarios. The time-dependent analysis is based on Monte-Carlo simulation, and includes the uncertainty of climate projections, deterioration processes, material properties, dimensions, and accuracy of predictive models. Deterioration of RC structures is represented by the probabilities of reinforcement corrosion initiation and damage. It was found that the mean carbonation depths by 2100 may increase by up to 44% for RC buildings in China due to a changing climate. It was also found that climate change can cause an additional 9-20% of carbonation-induced damage by 2100 for RC buildings in temperature or cold climate areas in China. The findings provide a basis for the development of climate adaptation strategies through the improved design of concrete structures.
- Subject
- corrosion; corrosion damage; concrete; China; climate change
- Identifier
- http://hdl.handle.net/1959.13/1341986
- Identifier
- uon:28861
- Identifier
- ISBN:9781315884882
- Language
- eng
- Reviewed
- Hits: 1171
- Visitors: 1340
- Downloads: 0